Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1148.933396 1297.278675 1459.570158 1650.632749 1869.838723 2113.961333 2407.111117
2026-01-04 923.948456 1124.792649 1363.559024 1669.789675 2054.198458 2523.466213 3143.827925
2026-01-11 800.432911 1023.985238 1304.818374 1686.393795 2195.746992 2858.411628 3795.875017
2026-01-18 711.796414 947.709380 1257.603824 1699.022003 2318.981593 3169.637975 4444.147714
2026-01-25 653.686620 900.984840 1238.703414 1740.113631 2476.762246 3536.802773 5209.636514
2026-02-01 599.783473 852.031927 1208.435941 1757.315265 2596.674429 3857.236712 5942.358849
2026-02-08 551.788605 805.288768 1174.560355 1762.368921 2694.627070 4150.615815 6666.138199
2026-02-15 514.346734 769.598666 1152.093696 1780.027092 2810.612355 4480.912260 7489.084294
2026-02-22 485.592804 743.805374 1141.198777 1812.963894 2952.114208 4865.277785 8452.326300
2026-03-01 444.561937 694.837479 1088.991436 1772.426061 2964.912470 5031.282368 9046.099272
2026-03-08 405.038287 644.759605 1030.285095 1714.463646 2939.955273 5125.768589 9515.749374
2026-03-15 371.314951 601.338460 978.643912 1663.117581 2920.090184 5224.852743 10003.732443
2026-03-22 359.182355 593.665413 987.405920 1720.671879 3108.103550 5738.228411 11407.045021
2026-03-29 342.185217 576.357426 978.234874 1745.213887 3237.751772 6157.576364 12687.102360
2026-04-05 325.657991 558.360557 966.009434 1762.285218 3353.849841 6562.737316 13998.647462
2026-04-12 310.074992 540.702725 952.705804 1775.575618 3463.157151 6966.318576 15370.348295
2026-04-19 299.893375 531.955892 954.827700 1818.726390 3637.675962 7528.458943 17203.294257
2026-04-26 287.217523 517.545349 945.009916 1836.792867 3761.015428 7994.148655 18882.317623
2026-05-03 273.984203 501.046513 929.776019 1842.100711 3856.967423 8409.844777 20507.078364
2026-05-10 263.294927 488.601282 921.361529 1860.647746 3983.953029 8912.992516 22447.902007
2026-05-17 255.099109 480.380894 920.588299 1895.245136 4151.029835 9533.094346 24818.044301
2026-05-24 239.461646 456.299332 885.931387 1852.663978 4133.472226 9698.685281 25948.123303
2026-05-31 223.211604 429.920699 844.682222 1791.789077 4065.846959 9729.993408 26696.776959